Unsettled Week Ahead...

By: Zachary Labe , 20:52 GMT 21. Prosinec 2011

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"12hr Estimated Precipitation"


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"10mi northeast of Harrisburg 2011-2012 winter statistics"
(Snow Stats)
Current Snow Cover- 0.0in
Monthly Total (October)- 5.5in
Monthly Total (November)- 0.0in
Monthly Total (December)- 0.3in
Seasonal Total- 5.8in
Winter Weather Advisories- 1
Winter Storm Warnings- 1
Ice Storm Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Freezing Rain Advisories- 0
Winter Storm Watches- 1

(Temperature Stats)
Lowest High Temperature- 39F
Lowest Low Temperature- 17F
Wind Chill Advisories- 0
Wind Chill Warnings- 0

(Snow Storms Stats)
Historic October Nor'easter - October 29 - 5.5in of wet snow
322 Lake Effect Snow Band - December 17 - 0.3in of wet snow

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Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 148 - 98

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148. Zachary Labe
16:20 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
With little blocking next week, it will be difficult to prevent a storm from cutting inland.

Quoting originalLT:
Wow, Blizz, looks like some very strong ehcos to your WSW, maybe some sleet involved in those echos.

A few reports of sleet and a rain/snow mix at higher elevations being reported.
Member Since: 14-12-07 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
147. TheRasberryPatch
16:14 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
Quoting goofyrider:
Wet and cold end to 2011.






Story of most of my life...wet and cold New Years Eve or bitterly cold with no snow. The only big storm I can recall near New Years Eve was Dec. 30th, 2000 that missed from Philly south and west.
Member Since: 26-01-07 Posts: 72 Comments: 6233
146. originalLT
16:06 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
Wow, Blizz, looks like some very strong ehcos to your WSW, maybe some sleet involved in those echos.
Member Since: 31-01-09 Posts: 0 Comments: 7064
145. Zachary Labe
16:04 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
Quoting TheRasberryPatch:
That trough is really digging deep into the south. I can't tell the timeframe on that model. Would that be a timeframe of Tuesday?

Yep... Tuesday/Wednesday.
Member Since: 14-12-07 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
144. PalmyraPunishment
15:57 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
Sorry guys, I saw PittsburghNurse's bragging about snow and got fed up. I hacked the Euro. My bad.
Member Since: 31-01-07 Posts: 9 Comments: 2250
143. goofyrider
15:44 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
Belated Merry Christmas to all:

This time last year we were hip deep in snow.

It is sad when the best snowfall for your winter occurred in OCT., and it wasn't enough to coat the grass. This next low looks to track up the east side of the highlands. Wet and cold end to 2011.




Member Since: 27-02-09 Posts: 0 Comments: 2646
142. TheRasberryPatch
15:36 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
That trough is really digging deep into the south. I can't tell the timeframe on that model. Would that be a timeframe of Tuesday?
Member Since: 26-01-07 Posts: 72 Comments: 6233
141. pittsburghnurse
15:21 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
Quoting PalmyraPunishment:


SHUT UP!


My my, someone needs some snow. I'm willing to share.
Member Since: 14-10-06 Posts: 1 Comments: 639
140. Zachary Labe
14:27 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
Did someone on this blog hack the ECMWF model data last night, hahahaha
Member Since: 14-12-07 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
139. johnbluedog69
14:25 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
Did somebody say mega snowstorm for the mid-atlantic???????? I believe, I believe:))
Member Since: 26-10-09 Posts: 0 Comments: 437
138. Zachary Labe
14:11 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
Well get ready for the hype train to pull out of the station. 0z ECMWF showed the first mega fantasy east coast snowstorm in the long range with a mega trough. GFS much more flatter and progressive. This would be for early next week. Way too early to begin to speculate, but that won't stop people from hyping it up.
Member Since: 14-12-07 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
137. MariettaMoon
13:52 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
...CARIBOU SETS ALL-TIME ANNUAL PRECIPITATION RECORD...

WITH THE 0.19 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION THAT FELL WITH THE LATEST
FREEZING RAIN EVENT...CARIBOU HAS NOW BROKEN THE ALL-TIME ANNUAL
PRECIPITATION RECORD. THE OLD RECORD WAS 54.25 INCHES IN
2005...AND CARIBOU NOW HAS 54.32 INCHES AS OF THE AFTERNOON OF
DECEMBER 22.

THE PRECIPITATION RECORD WAS THANKS TO THE EXTREMELY WET SUMMER.
THIS SUMMER WAS THE WETTEST ON RECORD FOR CARIBOU...AND THE MONTHS
OF JUNE AND JULY SET MONTHLY RECORDS AS WELL.

Member Since: 11-06-11 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
136. TheRasberryPatch
13:46 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
Thanks for the post Walshy. Very interesting.
Member Since: 26-01-07 Posts: 72 Comments: 6233
135. MariettaMoon
13:36 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
US Snowfall Departures Map:
Link
Member Since: 11-06-11 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
134. Walshy
13:03 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
308 AM EST TUE DEC 27 2011

VALID 12Z SAT DEC 31 2011 - 12Z TUE JAN 03 2012

...SNOWFALL POSSIBLE FROM THE MID-SOUTH INTO THE
CAROLINAS/MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEASTERN STATES EARLY NEXT WEEK...


THE GENERAL FLOW PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO BUCKLE THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND AS A FULL-LATITUDE TROUGH DIGS FROM ALASKA SOUTHWARD ALONG
THE 140TH MERIDIAN WEST. THIS CAUSES SIGNIFICANT RIDGING ACROSS
WESTERN NORTH AMERICA /WHICH SHOULD CAUSE THE HEAVY RAINS ACROSS
THE NORTHWEST TO CEASE ON SATURDAY/ AND A DOWNSTREAM TROUGH EAST
OF THE GREAT PLAINS. THE GUIDANCE SHARES THESE IDEAS. BY
SUNDAY...THE 00Z GFS/00Z CANADIAN/00Z GEFS MEAN PROGRESS THE
TROUGH A BIT FARTHER EAST THAN THE 00Z UKMET/00Z ECMWF/12Z ECMWF
ENSEMBLE MEAN. SINCE THE FLOW IS SO AMPLIFIED UPSTREAM...A
SLOWER/MORE AMPLIFIED TROUGH EAST OF THE PLAINS MAKES SENSE.
HOWEVER...THE 00Z ECMWF GOES A STEP TOO FAR BY DEVELOPING A DEEP
CLOSED CYCLONE ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH WHICH MOVES INTO THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES NEXT TUESDAY. THE ECMWF HAS A BIAS OF BEING
TOO SLOW/STRONG WITH SYSTEMS BEYOND 120 HOURS...SO IT IS LIKELY A
BIT OVERDONE...BUT ITS SOLUTION IS NOT IMPOSSIBLE. STARTED WITH A
40/40/20 COMPROMISE OF THE 00Z ECMWF/00Z UKMET/12Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE
MEAN EARLY ON BEFORE SWITCHING TO A 50/50 BLEND OF THE 00Z
ECMWF/12Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN THEREAFTER. PRESSURE-WISE...THIS
SOLUTION MAINTAINED REASONABLE CONTINUITY.

ROTH
Member Since: 17-05-09 Posts: 2 Comments: 904
133. Walshy
09:36 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
First frozen precip this winter here just east of the mountains in North Carolina! :)

Heavy Sleet/Rain for about 20mins then went to all rain. A few freezing rain advisories just got issued though to my south-west for higher elevations. Accumulating snows look to hold off until tonight above 3,500ft.
Member Since: 17-05-09 Posts: 2 Comments: 904
132. PalmyraPunishment
04:03 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
Quoting pittsburghnurse:
Well, finally snow in our forecast with measurable accumulation. Expecting 1" to 2" between tomorrow evening and Wednesday noonish.


SHUT UP!
Member Since: 31-01-07 Posts: 9 Comments: 2250
131. HeavySnow
03:04 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
Quoting weathergeek5:


I cannot confirm nor deny those allegations.


Okay, you're trying to throw me off as is The F1Man. The trail is warm and that may be the problem...

We're right outside your door... Let winter out.
Liver and fava beans anyone?
Member Since: 07-07-04 Posts: 18 Comments: 2989
130. weathergeek5
02:54 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
Quoting HeavySnow:
It's true RP. My crappy untended roses from the previous owners are blooming now more than they do in spring and summer.

Okay I'll ask you folks even though I'm sure I know the answer, did one of you take winter? Are you hiding it in a giant hole in your unfinished basement? Taunting it with your little dog in your arms as you lower it a low protein mush in a bucket, keeping poor winter barely alive. Keeping winter all to yourself you SICK #@$%!@#@@#*$#@!!!!


I cannot confirm nor deny those allegations.
Member Since: 25-12-05 Posts: 0 Comments: 1743
129. pittsburghnurse
02:31 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
Well, finally snow in our forecast with measurable accumulation. Expecting 1" to 2" between tomorrow evening and Wednesday noonish.
Member Since: 14-10-06 Posts: 1 Comments: 639
128. PhillySnow
01:08 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
Great to have some time on my hands with the holidays! Here's a haiku-like poem:

Sunny and beautiful today.
Flood watch tomorrow.
Christmas lights are confused.

Member Since: 18-12-09 Posts: 0 Comments: 1210
127. TheF1Man
01:02 GMT 27. Prosinec 2011
Quoting HeavySnow:
It's true RP. My crappy untended roses from the previous owners are blooming now more than they do in spring and summer.

Okay I'll ask you folks even though I'm sure I know the answer, did one of you take winter? Are you hiding it in a giant hole in your unfinished basement? Taunting it with your little dog in your arms as you lower it a low protein mush in a bucket, keeping poor winter barely alive. Keeping winter all to yourself you SICK #@$%!@#@@#*$#@!!!!


So you know the answer is yes right? That someone here took it...who's been quiet lately?
Member Since: 23-02-10 Posts: 0 Comments: 669
126. Zachary Labe
23:31 GMT 26. Prosinec 2011
I was up along a drive near Black Moshannon State Park today up through Centre County. Elevations are about 2300ft in some parts along that state route and is typically one of the coldest spots in Pennsylvania. Sadly there was only a dusting of snow (probably .25in). Any normal winter would easily have 12-18in in snow depth; great lake effect area.
Member Since: 14-12-07 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
125. HeavySnow
23:21 GMT 26. Prosinec 2011
It's true RP. My crappy untended roses from the previous owners are blooming now more than they do in spring and summer.

Okay I'll ask you folks even though I'm sure I know the answer, did one of you take winter? Are you hiding it in a giant hole in your unfinished basement? Taunting it with your little dog in your arms as you lower it a low protein mush in a bucket, keeping poor winter barely alive. Keeping winter all to yourself you SICK #@$%!@#@@#*$#@!!!!
Member Since: 07-07-04 Posts: 18 Comments: 2989
124. TheRasberryPatch
22:28 GMT 26. Prosinec 2011
I was at my Mother's yesterday in Towson, MD and she had at least 10 beautiful blooms from her rosebush. I don't think I have seen that before at Christmas
Member Since: 26-01-07 Posts: 72 Comments: 6233
123. HeavySnow
21:27 GMT 26. Prosinec 2011
Quoting shipweather:
we. need. a. patter. change.


Do you mean we should talk about something else?
Member Since: 07-07-04 Posts: 18 Comments: 2989
122. shipweather
16:56 GMT 26. Prosinec 2011
we. need. a. patter. change.
Member Since: 15-12-07 Posts: 19 Comments: 987
121. originalLT
16:41 GMT 26. Prosinec 2011
Sounds like all had a very good Christmas, glad to hear that. MM , that terrible fire in my city took place about 4 miles from me, near the water--, the Long Island Sound. They still don't know why it started, but are guessing electrical problems-- the house was being renovated while the people were still living in it.
Member Since: 31-01-09 Posts: 0 Comments: 7064
120. TheRasberryPatch
15:51 GMT 26. Prosinec 2011
I see they have accumulating snow coming into SW Michigan for the next day. Hopefully, the pattern will start to change.

Blizz - how will you use the thermometer? The winds are brisk today.

I see we have chances of rain the next week. If this isn't typical of the Mid-Atlantic. One year we will have chances of snow from Christmas to New Years.
Member Since: 26-01-07 Posts: 72 Comments: 6233
119. baxtheweatherman
15:20 GMT 26. Prosinec 2011
Quoting listenerVT:
baxtheweatherman...where are you? Am I allowed yet to say it's (still) snowing here in NW VT? (We still only have a couple of inches, as it's been a very light snow.)


opps, sorry- I'm just south of Altoona.
Member Since: 31-12-07 Posts: 0 Comments: 118
118. Zachary Labe
14:58 GMT 26. Prosinec 2011
Thanks all for the Christmas wishes and comments; means a lot! Hope everyone had a wonderful holiday! Only one weather gift for me this year, lol, an infrared handheld thermometer.
Member Since: 14-12-07 Posts: 278 Comments: 15045
117. MariettaMoon
14:46 GMT 26. Prosinec 2011
Got "Northeast Snowstorms" for Christmas!

LT: Heard about that crazy fire in Stamford. How close are you to that?
Member Since: 11-06-11 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
116. listenerVT
06:14 GMT 26. Prosinec 2011
Quoting pittsburghnurse:
It's a glorious sunny Christmas morning complete with singing birds and a hard coating of frost here in the Burgh. Wishing all of you a very Merry Christmas and ListenerVT, it certainly is a very special one for you. A hearty congratulations!


Awww, thanks, Pittsburghnurse!! ♥


baxtheweatherman...where are you? Am I allowed yet to say it's (still) snowing here in NW VT? (We still only have a couple of inches, as it's been a very light snow.)
Member Since: 11-07-07 Posts: 0 Comments: 5402
115. baxtheweatherman
02:59 GMT 26. Prosinec 2011
It's snowing at my house! Yay! Driveway is turning white. (I predict a foot of snow for Easter, lol).
Member Since: 31-12-07 Posts: 0 Comments: 118
114. PhillySnow
00:51 GMT 26. Prosinec 2011
I thought of you all playing disc golf in totally comfortable weather today; not a drop of white or ice anywhere. Thanks for doing the forecasts and keeping the blog active, Blizz. And well said, TRP. Ditto!!

Merry Christmas, everyone!
Member Since: 18-12-09 Posts: 0 Comments: 1210
113. bionicdan
20:09 GMT 25. Prosinec 2011
Joyfull Joyfull, Orpheus from a photo taken during 2010 -- but it is one of my favorites!
Member Since: 30-12-02 Posts: 92 Comments: 532
112. NYCvort
17:42 GMT 25. Prosinec 2011
Merry Christmas Blizz and everyone!
Member Since: 20-06-10 Posts: 112 Comments: 144
111. shipweather
14:48 GMT 25. Prosinec 2011
Merry Christmas everyone!
Member Since: 15-12-07 Posts: 19 Comments: 987
110. weathergeek5
13:52 GMT 25. Prosinec 2011
Merry Christmas everyone!!
Member Since: 25-12-05 Posts: 0 Comments: 1743
109. wunderstorm87
13:48 GMT 25. Prosinec 2011
Merry Christmas to everyone here!

It looks like we may have a legitimate threat of rain turning to snow and accumulating in many areas Tuesday night.
Member Since: 05-08-10 Posts: 0 Comments: 588
108. baxtheweatherman
13:47 GMT 25. Prosinec 2011
Merry Christmas Everyone!
Member Since: 31-12-07 Posts: 0 Comments: 118
107. pittsburghnurse
13:45 GMT 25. Prosinec 2011
It's a glorious sunny Christmas morning complete with singing birds and a hard coating of frost here in the Burgh. Wishing all of you a very Merry Christmas and ListenerVT, it certainly is a very special one for you. A hearty congratulations!
Member Since: 14-10-06 Posts: 1 Comments: 639
106. TheF1Man
13:42 GMT 25. Prosinec 2011
Merry Christmas Everyone and what a nice post RP. Blizz we all do really appreciate all the work you put into the posts. Hope you get more today than a tuition bill like i did last year! Yes it was joke by my parents lol.
Member Since: 23-02-10 Posts: 0 Comments: 669
105. MarylandGirl
09:18 GMT 25. Prosinec 2011
MERRY CHRISTMAS to Blizz and the crew. Not looking real good for snow here in SOMD this winter if I read all these posts correctly! Not even much in Maine right now.........Have a wonderful (if snowless) day!
Member Since: 10-09-01 Posts: 2 Comments: 486
104. listenerVT
08:14 GMT 25. Prosinec 2011
(If this works...here's a photo...)



....didn't work
Member Since: 11-07-07 Posts: 0 Comments: 5402
103. listenerVT
08:12 GMT 25. Prosinec 2011
M E R R Y * C H R I S T M A S !

Our very special new grandniece was born on Christmas Eve morning! She's special because her Mama had leukemia in high school requiring a bone marrow transplant, which makes a person sterile. But Mama's big sister donated the egg, so Mama gave birth to a healthy little one named Mia Charlotte. Moreover, Mama and her big sister have a dad whose pancreatic cancer is now in remission, and a mom who is a chair of Make-a-Wish.

Christmas Eve Day was blue-sky-clear here and incredibly cold! It was only 2 degrees when we left for midnight mass tonight! Brrr! The bit of snow we got has, therefore, stayed.
Member Since: 11-07-07 Posts: 0 Comments: 5402
102. HeavySnow
06:23 GMT 25. Prosinec 2011
I second that and Amen RP!!! Merry Green/Brown Christmas snow lovers.
Member Since: 07-07-04 Posts: 18 Comments: 2989
101. TheRasberryPatch
01:28 GMT 25. Prosinec 2011
Blizz - thanks for stopping by and the wishes.

A MERRY CHRISTMAS TO YOU AND YOUR FAMILY. You are such a great person with incredible thoughts. I wish nothing but the best for you for years to come. It is great having this blog to post and to interact. Even though we have never met, I consider you a friend.


MERRY CHRISTMAS TO EVERYONE ON BLIZZ'S BLOG. I really enjoy reading the posts and all the hardwork that everyone puts into the posts. May we all get along and enjoy posting here.
Member Since: 26-01-07 Posts: 72 Comments: 6233
100. dragonflyF15
22:15 GMT 24. Prosinec 2011
Photobucket
Member Since: 13-02-06 Posts: 192 Comments: 2151
99. wxgeek723
19:31 GMT 24. Prosinec 2011
Quoting Blizzard92:

I do not think we will ever see this much rain in one year in southern Pennsylvania in our lifetimes; what a rare event! After Christmas I would like to put together a research blog focused on the rainfall here in the LSV this year.


Knock on some wood buddy.
Member Since: 28-08-08 Posts: 79 Comments: 3318
98. BaltimoreBrian
19:01 GMT 24. Prosinec 2011
Merry Christmas Blizzard92. You run a really good blog.
Member Since: 09-08-11 Posts: 25 Comments: 8004

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About Blizzard92

Cornell University- Atmospheric Sciences Student; Central PA SKYWARN Storm Spotter; American Meteorological Society Member; PA CoCoRaHS Branch Member

Personal Weather Stations

Linglestown, PA
Elevation: 520 ft
Teplota: 24.2 °F
Rosný bod: 15.2 °F
Vlhkost: 68%
Vítr: Bezvětří
Nárazy větru: 9.0 mil/h
Updated: 10:37 EST 18. Leden 2014

About Personal Weather Stations